Skip to main content

Video Link and Summary of Senate Banking Committee Testimony

Took some time to watch the testimony earlier. It started with some intensity and it ended with a softer and more understanding tone towards the end of the testimony.

Chairman Bernanke expressed his anger towards AIG, and explained that AIG's investment operations were operating like a hedge fund, and because of such unmanaged risk that were taken by them, where it also went through the regulatory loopholes, thus causing the worries. If AIG is to fail now, the effect may be catastrophic and detrimental to the current financial woes of the economy. The Fed did really think and consider about the consumers of such insurance products who had given premiums to the insurer, and the possible effect if AIG is to fail, there will be another vacuum that could cost adverse effects in the health care system as well.

One of the Senator did bring up to Bernanke's attention to ask if AIG was labeled as a 'zombie institution'. I thought that was a pretty interesting one, but Bernanke replied neutrally to the question, which panned out to be a 'no'.

As for future plans to AIG, they hope to be able to break up the company, and subsequently sell the company at a later stage.

After the testimony today, where I will express in my personal opinion, I feel that the U.S economy is currently going through a very rough patch. The existing problem on hand is indeed extremely challenging for the Obama Administration and Ben Bernanke:

1) They have a huge deficit that may take 2 generations to clear.
2) They have to find ways to acquire national income and maintain a healthy Debt to GDP ratio for the country. In my opinion, now, not only the big financial institutions are technically insolvent, I think the U.S economy is technically in it as well.
3) They have to work hard to maintain the credibility of the U.S government securities.
4) They are still currently using good money (TARP, Stimulus Package, TALF and more to come) to chase after bad money (Citibank, AIG, GM and etc), after 8 months of rescue to the economy.

Simply, such problems could not be resolved over the next 2 years. It will take a longer than expected time to recover from this impact. If you had followed closely, Dow at 7,100 was the 50% mark between the high in Oct 2007 to the low in 1932. Thus by taking less than 2 years, all these gains were simply wiped out.

Continue to look into the stock market for clues for the recovery, as this is where most sovereign wealth funds, governments, great investors and gurus' monies are in now. If you have time to watch a 6 part (10-min) clip, I urge you to watch this interesting video documentary on the Great Depression of 1929.

Here is the video link to the testimony

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Can Banks Be Trusted?

Today's events have indeed been a thrilling experience experience for the international markets. As I am writing this, the China Central Banks has just cut its key interest rate again by 27 basis points to spur growth, Lehman (est. 1844) has filed for Chapter 11 (Bankruptcy) , there are rounds of ECB having an emergency rate cut, UBS sneaking in to declare another $5B of writedowns, AIG seeking help from the Fed with a request of a $40B bridge loan after rejecting an offer by Flower to prevent themselves from joining the slaughterhouse where their CDs are currently gapping outwards, and it seems that the only few pieces of good news are probably that Merril had a merger with BOA, as well as a consortium of global banks have put together a $70B fund to facilitate liduidity and an orderly resolution between Lehman and their counterparties. ECB also joined in with $30B to curb liquidity woes as well.  In my opinion, it seems like an obvious trend that all Fed Governors are challenged ...

What Will Happen If This Financial Uncertainty Persists?

Ever wonder what will happen to your stockbroker if the financial situation persists?

Trading Rules In A Nutshell

Hi all, I'm finally done with the setup on my new Forexyard Demo account.  As on our previous posts, trading calls will officially commence from today, and we will review the result of trading on a week to week, month by month, and year by year basis (hope I'm that determined). Let us move in small strides to make this work on a long term. Summarizing some facts before we start on making market calls, here are some rules that I will be following: Stops are pre-determined before any entry of trades Size of trade is determined by the total size of the account, total risk should not be more 1% of the total value of the trading account at any time. My target return per week is to achieve 0.5% gains weekly. Compound it by 56 weeks, you should get our annual target. (Gains are tabulated on a weekly basis only) Term of trades may vary between minutes and even up to weeks. Weekly P&L on the Demo Account no. 77104 will be published at both http://systematic-trading.blogspot.com a...