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Trading Outlook


The world markets today will remain focused on further developments on the U.S. financial bailout program, that has just about worked its way through Congress. It now appears to be a done deal. The strongest reaction has been in equty markets, which have improved. The USD really does not know what to do with it, but its tone improved as the day wore on. It may indeed be a dramatic 

The major question now is whether interbank liquidity will start to improve once the bill officially has been passed as the interbank lending had dried up pretty drastically. As simply, banks who have cash do not want to let it go for credit/liquidity reasons. 

Next Monday will be an interesting day because on that date, markets will start trading the three month maturity over the turn of the year. Equity markets and the bond vigilantes will have the final word on the bailout program and have already rallied in anticipation of its passage.

The USD is trading steady to lower against EUR, CHF, JPY and GBP. Crude Oil starts lower at 106ish away from yesterday's high at $108 per barrel. Gold is also lower

Asian bourses traded lower with HSI 18771.02 -163.41, Nikkei 225 closed at 11893.16 -113.37,  STI currently trading at 2409.90 -34.26, and Shanghai 2293.784 -3.717. 10-yr JGBs were a touch weaker. European bourses rallied. E-Z bond prices have gained.

U.S. equity markets closed up stronger yesterday. Likely to follow with a weaker opening in the US markets today. Bond prices are also weaker.

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