Skip to main content

Trading Outlook

Markets await details on the Fed's proposed bailout program, as the significance of this event is likely to pose bearish sentiments on the US dollar, as a combination of a loose monetary and fiscal policy, is usually seen as a problem for a country's domestic currency, similary over time, this countercyclical moves may be presumed to improve liquidity in the economic pipeline, and to provide firms the opportunity to realign their balance sheets. The bond markets may very well have to witness an increase in the outstanding U.S. government debt.

Currently, US Dollar trades weaker against the EUR, CHF, JPY and GBP.

Asian bourses closed higher with the Nikkei gaining. Shanghai and Shenzhen gained modestly making an approximate 20% over 2 days, following steps taken by the China government to boost stock prices. The U.S. equity markets will be opening lower later.

10-yr JGBs were also weaker. Commodity currencies are broadly mixed. Gold advanced only modestly. Oil is firm as it looks now like it wants to hold above the $100 line.

Stay tuned for my next post as I will describe further on the mechanics and rules of my trading system.

Cheers.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Financial Crisis Management

Back in the 80s, when the US government had to deal with a crisis where the Resolution Trust Corporation, which is a holding company formed and housed within the Treasury, to deal with distressed real estate that was funded by loans and savings, the strategy was deemed a sucess where it was later reused by the HK and Indonesian government during the asian financial crisis. This indeed managed to give immediate liquidity and confidence to the markets during such turbulent times. In addition, this came as a win-win situation for the governments, because as these distressed assets were bought in a 'fire-sale' price, which was significantly cheaper than its face value, the governments made profits from such transactions, where in today's case, the similar situation applies. The target of this plan for the purpose of restoring order in the banking system, so banks will remain confident to lend, as well as to free up funds for further lending and use when the economy grows.  Afte...

Market Call

After much thoughts as to how my market calls should be made in order to create the best effect and authencity, here are some details that I would like you to know: All trades made on this  trading  account no. 77104 will be 'real' live trades. A report in the format (shown on the right) will be reported on a weekly and monthly basis. Trades and market calls made by me, are only for the purpose of reference, and is no indication for you to trade and follow.  Entry and exit of trades may be in a matter of minutes, therefore, I would urge readers to follow them closely or to backtrack the results with the use of their charts for authentication of results. See ya soon on market call.

Can Banks Be Trusted?

Today's events have indeed been a thrilling experience experience for the international markets. As I am writing this, the China Central Banks has just cut its key interest rate again by 27 basis points to spur growth, Lehman (est. 1844) has filed for Chapter 11 (Bankruptcy) , there are rounds of ECB having an emergency rate cut, UBS sneaking in to declare another $5B of writedowns, AIG seeking help from the Fed with a request of a $40B bridge loan after rejecting an offer by Flower to prevent themselves from joining the slaughterhouse where their CDs are currently gapping outwards, and it seems that the only few pieces of good news are probably that Merril had a merger with BOA, as well as a consortium of global banks have put together a $70B fund to facilitate liduidity and an orderly resolution between Lehman and their counterparties. ECB also joined in with $30B to curb liquidity woes as well.  In my opinion, it seems like an obvious trend that all Fed Governors are challenged ...